Table 1 Estimated number of future fall-related calls obtained using the four models for 2025–2060 and their ratio to the actual number in 2022

Estimated using the 2022 data

10,378

11,589

12,871

13,804

14,154

14,447

14,731

15,280

Compared with 2022

1.1

1.2

1.4

1.5

1.5

1.6

1.6

1.6

Estimated using Poisson progression

10,343

12,518

15,082

17,737

19,887

22,084

24,466

27,584

95% confidence intervals

10,164–10,525

12,199–12,847

14,566–15,617

16,973–18,537

18,854–20,979

20,742–23,516

22,768–26,296

25,436–29,920

Compared with 2022

1.1

1.3

1.6

1.9

2.1

2.4

2.6

3.0

Estimated using neural boost based on the data through 2019

10,323

12,732

15,548

18,250

20,375

22,309

23,827

25,263

Compared with 2022

1.1

1.4

1.7

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.7

Estimated using neural boos

11,181

17,465

22,854

26,246

28,680

31,019

32,648

34,043

Compared with 2022

1.2

1.9

2.5

2.8

3.1

3.3

3.5

3.7